As Canada transitions to a low-carbon future, it is important to evaluate which pathways present the best opportunities for job creation and economic growth. We must also ensure that the chosen pathways fulfil the government’s promise of Indigenous Reconciliation, reduce poverty and inequality, and create the kind of environment that we want to leave for future generations.
This report analyzes Canada’s progress towards achieving our Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) of a 30 percent reduction from 2005 levels of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2030 and our fair share contribution to limit warming to 1.5°C. This analysis examines the emissions impact of federally approved fossil fuel infrastructure projects and the emissions impact of national policies designed to reduce GHG emissions. The first section of this analysis compares recently announced national policies to reduce GHG emissions with the projected upstream emissions from four major fossil fuel infrastructure projects but does not include the additional policies and regulations outlined in the Pan-Canadian Framework on Clean Growth and Climate Change (PCF). This section also evaluates the job creation potential of investments in the four major fossil fuel infrastructure projects compared to the job creation potential of the same investments in the One Million Climate Jobs Plan. The second section of this analysis examines the proposals outlined in the PCF and evaluates whether these measures are sufficient to meet Canada’s climate change commitments and if the necessary policies are in place to ensure a Just Transition for workers, their families, and communities in the shift to a low-carbon economy.